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🚨 BREAKING: Poland’s opposition parties won enough seats in Sunday’s general election to take power from the Law and Justice (PiS) party, according to a final vote count released by the National Electoral Commission this morning. 🔗 politico.eu/article/poland…

Excited to finally see this article with Janina Dill (Blavatnik School of Government) & -- deactivated legacy account -- (LSE Government) out in AJPS! Huge thanks to Nuffield College & Oxford Politics and IR for the support. We are also very grateful to @PetroBurkovskyi & Democratic Initiatives Foundation for their help.

Wow, this is quite the graphic. Until recently, Americans' views about the state of the economy have closely matched the actual state of the economy. In the last few years, however, perception and reality have become strongly disconnected. economist.com/graphic-detail…

This coming Friday and Saturday (3-4 November) I will be hosting a conference on "Countering Illiberalism in Liberal Democracies", which I have co-organised with Isabela Mares (Isabela Mares), and which will take place at Oxford Politics and IR A 🧵/1 politics.ox.ac.uk/news/dpir-host…

I'm obviously biased but direkt36 has Hungary's best investigative team. In recent years, we had a string of kick-ass investigations into corruption, abuse of power, Russian and Chinese influence etc. Please consider supporting our fundraising campaign: direkt36.hu/en/tamogass-mi…

**New Paper in Nature Human Behaviour** If there is something that many democracies have in common is a great degree of polarization. But what issues divide a population? And how can we detect them? In 2022 we ran two digital democracy experiments in France 🇫🇷 and Brazil 🇧🇷.

🚨 New paper in Nature Human Behaviour 🚨 rdcu.be/drzoB Training algorithms on revealed preferences - user behavior - teaches them a biased view of human preferences, with examples and potential solutions. w/𝐒𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐡𝐢𝐥 𝐌𝐮𝐥𝐥𝐚𝐢𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧, naushan, Cass Sunstein, kleinberg, Manish Raghavan, &

How to download political science data in #rstats (GDP, democracy scores, alliance, regime types etc). Top 11 packages! rforpoliticalscience.com/2023/04/07/top…

In the night of November 22, the #Fidesz party caucus submitted the draft #SovereigntyProtection bill to the #Hungarian parliament. Find below my snap analysis about this new intimidation measure to deter civic activism and dissent of the #Orbán regime. The language of the draft

BREAKING: Far-right leader Geert Wilders has won the Dutch election, according to exit poll. 🔗 politico.eu/article/far-ri…

If the projections hold up, not a good day for pollsters in the Netherlands. The latest aggregated poll @peilingwijzer before the election had PVV at 27 seats. 35 is well out of the confidence interval.

Interested in algorithms, rabbit holes, radicalization? 👇Auditing YouTube's Recommendation System for Ideologically Congenial, Extreme, and Problematic Recommendations is finally out in PNASNews pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pn… Long hrs over 2+ yrs w/Haroon Zubair Shafiq Prasant Mohapatra

Now in print and ungated: williammarble.co/docs/EducPolar…

NEW: in American Political Science Review we report a treasure trove of data from inside dozens of campaigns’ own experiments on persuasion The data reveal experimentation at a vast scale that is revolutionizing campaigning challenges academic theories & could have implications for democracy 🧵

Alexei Alexey Navalny's death is yet another dark reminder of the rogue regime we’re dealing with – and why Russia and all those responsible must be held accountable for each of their crimes. My condolences. Thinking of all those who still sit behind bars for their political views.

More than 50,000 people at a major protest against the 🇭🇺 govt, organised by content creators and artists in Budapest this evening, following the child-abuse pardon scandal that led to President Katalin Novák's resignation.

The grimmer the topic, the bigger the smile. My next talk: Minda de Gunzburg Center for European Studies, this Wednesday. Thank you, Laura Jákli, for chairing the event! Event info in a comment.

Excited to share our article just out in British Jnl Poli Sci #OpenAccess. The first meta-analysis of the evidence of a causal association between economic #insecurity and #populism provides a definite answer confirming that economic insecurity is a robust cause. @ManuSeral Alexandru D. Moise

Very excited to see this out!

Do people find sanctions imposed on their country by the EU🇪🇺 acceptable? What arguments, if any, can increase support for sanctions that hurt your own state 🇵🇱? Some answers in our new JEPP article (w. Honorata Mazepus Nikoleta Yordanova & Darinka Piqani)! tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.10…