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Only 16% of respondents in a recent Deutsche Bank survey believe the Fed is completely independent, with 25% seeing political pressure leading to lower rates.

Morgan Stanley's Matt Hornbach tallied up the net issuance from G7 nations in the next month or so. The US is the biggest debt seller with more than $220 billion of net sales in the next five weeks, but the EU is catching up with a net sales of 93.8 billion euros in the period.

In recent years, the value of the dollar was driven by rate differentials, with foreign investors drawn to the US’s stronger growth and higher risk-free income. That relationship has broken down since April. Chart from Apollo’s Torsten Slok: apolloacademy.com/wp-content/upl…

Long-term yields are surging around the world, with German 30-yr rates at the highest since 2023 and 30-yr yields in Japan surging toward new records. The uncomfortable truth: no politician wants to pay for spending with cuts & taxes, & bond markets are getting nervous.

Betting markets are showing a growing chance that Trump will fire Powell this year, as per Polymarket: