Contrarian Capital (@longoption) 's Twitter Profile
Contrarian Capital

@longoption

Come join me on my journey of trying to generate alpha in equities markets with a combination of stocks and options Not financial advice.

ID: 1577787296408928257

linkhttps://buymeacoffee.com/longoption calendar_today05-10-2022 22:26:26

2,2K Tweet

808 Followers

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$META requires you to do a demo before you’re able to buy their new smart glasses. No, not “suggests”. Requires. Absolutely horrible product distribution, especially for the flagship product for a division that has pissed away a fortune in cash (reality labs).

$META requires you to do a demo before you’re able to buy their new smart glasses. 

No, not “suggests”. Requires. 

Absolutely horrible product distribution, especially for the flagship product for a division that has pissed away a fortune in cash (reality labs).
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This is the core tragedy of investing For 99% of people, the majority of your gains will come once you are significantly older than when you started. For some, they may even be too old to enjoy the money. Investing is good, but the money is pointless unless you remember to

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If you post that you like $RIVN, be prepared for a shocking amount of hate. Personally, I like their approach better than everyone, including Tesla. Scaling enterprise fleets alongside rolling out cheaper models is a fantastic setup for the business, and I think the stock could

If you post that you like $RIVN, be prepared for a shocking amount of hate.

Personally, I like their approach better than everyone, including Tesla. Scaling enterprise fleets alongside rolling out cheaper models is a fantastic setup for the business, and I think the stock could
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Way too many people on here posting analyses on stocks that are far too long. You need about 10ish tweets, or about 2 pages (double spaced) to express the full thesis behind an investment. Yes, there’s more in your research notes, but it’s almost entirely no-signal.

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The market was very frothy in two key areas: -datacenter names ($IREN, $NBIS) -Quantum names ($IONQ, $QBTS, etc) Now that these names have flushed a bit, what’s the remaining argument that we’re in a bubble? Most of the other “AI” stocks carry fairly appropriate multiples.

The market was very frothy in two key areas: 

-datacenter names ($IREN, $NBIS)
-Quantum names ($IONQ, $QBTS, etc) 

Now that these names have flushed a bit, what’s the remaining argument that we’re in a bubble? Most of the other “AI” stocks carry fairly appropriate multiples.
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I don’t talk about it much, but $UNH has actually been my largest overall position since before their Q2 earnings. It’s a fantastic company in an industry that isn’t going anywhere. FinX doesn’t have the patience to let a thesis play out, but a recovery for $UNH is one of the

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This is one of the most deserved rips I've seen in a bit. The management team for $LULU is god awful. It takes a real idiot to grow so slowly despite such a strong brand. I'm excited to see who they pick as the replacement.

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Everyone discusses whether or not a given number (earnings, jobless claims, new housing starts, etc) came in above or below estimates. No one ever questions if the estimates were good, or even reasonable. Strange how that works...

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Feeling great about this today, as $UNH is green while the market takes a massive nosedive. Short term price action isn't the thesis, but a day like today can tell you how the market really feels about a company.

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Stores continue to be pretty healthy amounts of packed in my experience today The death of the economy and the consumer is greatly overstated

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The market continues to trade flat/sell off due to fears that AI rollout and capex will slow. -$AVGO won't issue guidance -$ORCL pushing dc buildout The core issue here is the same as it has always been: AI needs to either provide value in terms of dollars, or it needs to

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The F-150 lightning is DEAD The electric pickup market is now essentially just two vehicles: -The Rivian R1T -The Tesla Cybertruck Neither gets any respect from the historical truck crowd. They’re both vanity vehicles driven for show, not for actual “truck” activities.

The F-150 lightning is DEAD 

The electric pickup market is now essentially just two vehicles: 

-The Rivian R1T 
-The Tesla Cybertruck 

Neither gets any respect from the historical truck crowd. They’re both vanity vehicles driven for show, not for actual “truck” activities.
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X will have you convinced that markets are imploding Here’s a reality check: there’s been a lot of chop, but it’s mostly flat over the past three months. The sentiment you see on X is due to the fact that many are in highly correlated names. It’s not the market doing poorly,

X will have you convinced that markets are imploding 

Here’s a reality check: there’s been a lot of chop, but it’s mostly flat over the past three months. 

The sentiment you see on X is due to the fact that many are in highly correlated names. It’s not the market doing poorly,