Dr Maria Shagina (@maria_shagina) 's Twitter Profile
Dr Maria Shagina

@maria_shagina

Senior Research Fellow for Economic Sanctions, Standards and Strategy, IISS | Ex @FIIA_fi and UniZurich | Economic statecraft, sanctions & energy.

ID: 739714573310275584

linkhttps://www.mariashagina.com/ calendar_today06-06-2016 07:04:32

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Following Trump’s rhetoric, the US establishment embraced the idea of secondary tariffs: a bipartisan group has introduced a package to slap a 500% tariff on imports from countries that buy Russian oil, petroleum products, natural gas or uranium. bloomberg.com/news/articles/…

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In line with the DoJ's disbanding of the KleptoCapture Task Force, OFAC lifted sanctions on the wife of Russian oligarch Boris Rotenberg. ofac.treasury.gov/recent-actions…

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This is on top of the US quietly scaling back its participation in G7 working groups covering sanctions circumvention, incl. of "battlefield items".

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A Russian-German engineer is accused of secretly supplying sensitive technical information from ASML, NXP and TSMC to Russia. The stollen docs could support the setup of a basic semiconductor line capable of producing chips at 28nm-class process technology tomshardware.com/tech-industry/…

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Self-sufficiency á la China. While China mimics US sanctions and export control toolkit, the US is following China's playbook on trade policy.

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A bipartisan legislation is introduced to establish a fund to enforce sanctions on Russia's shadow fleet. With a nod to Trump's trade policy, any oil seized by the US would be sold and the funds over certain levels would help pay down the U.S. debt. reuters.com/markets/commod…

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The EU is embracing tariffs as an alternative to sanctions: to bypass the unanimity requirement, Brussels is considering introducing tariffs on Russian fertilizers and piped gas. ft.com/content/1c126e…

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The spread of advanced military technology to disruptive regimes and non-state actors remains a pressing global security concern. As part of the #DFS2025 in Berlin, IISS–Europe will host a hybrid panel to discuss recent developments. 📆 Monday 5 May | 15:00 CEST | 14:00 BST |

The spread of advanced military technology to disruptive regimes and non-state actors remains a pressing global security concern. As part of the #DFS2025 in Berlin, IISS–Europe will host a hybrid panel to discuss recent developments. 

📆 Monday 5 May | 15:00 CEST | 14:00 BST |
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➡️"IEEPA may allow tariffs, but not tariffs to address the trade deficit." ➡️ "IEEPA's "dealing with" language requires that a measure directly deal with the threat, not just create leverage for negotiations. [...] could have implications for sanctions, which also rely on IEEPA."

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Ukraine has given a masterclass in how to weaponize Russia's underbelly — the EAEU — against itself. It was an asymmetrical attack in which Kyiv apparently used third-party intermediaries in the EAEU to ship drones to Russia while concealing their origin.

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After Kellogg's visit to Minsk, Lukashenka released 14 political prisoners. The US seems to have been working on the Belarus track since February. The main Q is what Lukashenka got in return: sanctions relief? economic aid? nytimes.com/2025/02/15/wor…