Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile
Daniel Markovits

@markovitis

Phd student in political science @Columbia studying voter responses to democratic threat in America.

daniel-markovits.github.io/home/

ID: 827234757213818880

calendar_today02-02-2017 19:18:30

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Alice Malmberg (@alicemalmberg1) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Following up on my earlier thread, I’m pleased to announce that my paper “Did Changes to the Voting Rights Act Cause Electoral Backsliding in the States” has been accepted for publication Election Law Journal! Current draft here: bit.ly/3TSoKvV And, another brief 🧵:

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Both sides are convinced they have mustered vast and unusual coalitions of elites! And they are both right, just in wildly different ways.

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Whether "changing coalitions diminish EC bias" or "Dem Campaign was really effective" explains this seems really important. I assume some of both.

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This stuff about the Green Party is interesting from a democratic norms perspective. Is it pro-democratic for Republicans to try to get Green Party candidates on the ballot or Democrats to try to remove them?

Andrew O’Donohue (@aod_phd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

My writing for The Atlantic on "How to Prevent Trump from Defying the Courts" 👇 Here's the key idea: "When courts confront a powerful, noncompliant executive, three paths enable the judiciary to stop an executive power grab." theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

If Trump defies a specific, unpopular court order and makes the case to his base, I expect these numbers to look more like a bare majority in favor of courts.

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This is ominous, but Trump is also an old, term-limited incumbent who doesn't care about his party's future or the 2026 midterms.

Patrick Liu (@patrickpliu) 's Twitter Profile Photo

🧵 Why do facts often change beliefs but not attitudes? In a new WP with Yamil Ricardo Velez and Scott Clifford, we caution against interpreting this as rigidity or motivated reasoning. Often, the beliefs *relevant* to people's attitudes are not what researchers expect.

🧵 Why do facts often change beliefs but not attitudes? 

In a new WP with <a href="/YamilRVelez/">Yamil Ricardo Velez</a> and Scott Clifford, we caution against interpreting this as rigidity or motivated reasoning. Often, the beliefs *relevant* to people's attitudes are not what researchers expect.
Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This stuff sounds a lot like a democratic norm, party officers can legally do whatever they want but there is a strong intuition from voters and many elites that the formal party should not take a side.

Daniel Markovits (@markovitis) 's Twitter Profile Photo

This is an interesting mechanism that blunts the political effects of thermostatic opinion shifts: the out of power party reads polls, sees the backlash to new admin's policy and adopts more extreme policies.

Andrew O’Donohue (@aod_phd) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Today in The Atlantic, I write that Trump is "baiting the courts" — following a strategy that authoritarians from Turkey to Mexico have used to weaken the judiciary. The key idea behind "court-baiting:" adopting policies that are popular but illegal. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

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Obviously we don't see the ones that don't get covered but it seems like these "test some intra-party fight through slanted polling wording" survey write-ups are pretty good at generating earned media.