Medical Axioms (@medicalaxioms) 's Twitter Profile
Medical Axioms

@medicalaxioms

I’m Mark Reid, MD. I made @MedicalAxioms. Now I’m writing a book called Individual Daily Risk that will change the way doctors & scientists interpret RCTs.

ID: 197901148

linkhttp://IndividualDailyRisk.com calendar_today02-10-2010 19:42:46

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Medical Axioms (@medicalaxioms) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Here’s the K-M survival curve from the recent #semaglutide #ozempic paper in non diabetics from the NEJM. I’m going to teach you how to read a KM curve in a few steps. First, let’s discuss the deception presented here. Lincoff AM, Brown-Frandsen K, Colhoun HM, Deanfield J,

Here’s the K-M survival curve from the recent #semaglutide #ozempic paper in non diabetics from the NEJM. 

I’m going to teach you how to read a KM curve in a few steps. 

First, let’s discuss the deception presented here. 

Lincoff AM, Brown-Frandsen K, Colhoun HM, Deanfield J,
Ethan Mollick (@emollick) 's Twitter Profile Photo

"Hey Claude, create an interactive simulator that explains the Monty Hall problem." "Make it better." (It soon hit the maximum size for an artifact) Nice job, I thought the ability to play the game manually or autoplay with different strategies was clever claude.site/artifacts/8c34…

Medical Axioms (@medicalaxioms) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Here’s the actual correct visual of the #MontyHallProblem Switching wins 66% of the time because more of the winning possibilities are paired with impossible scenarios.

Here’s the actual correct visual of the #MontyHallProblem 

Switching wins 66% of the time because more of the winning possibilities are paired with impossible scenarios.
Medical Axioms (@medicalaxioms) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Learn how to calculate the daily probability of dying from any Kaplan Meier survival curve. And calculate the daily probability of being saved by an effective medicine. Individual Daily Risk: On the Extinction of Populations a.co/d/aCkiwxv #Amazon via @Amazon

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Turn any all-cause mortality Kaplan Meier curve into an estimation of the daily risk of dying faced by the patients in the trial. Eric Topol a.co/d/4fDrHWw

Medical Axioms (@medicalaxioms) 's Twitter Profile Photo

Individual Daily Risk allows you to calculate the daily risk of dying with a placebo or an effective treatment. Then you can calculate a number call DProBS. The daily probability of being saved. Often something like 1 in 50,000. a.co/d/4fDrHWw

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Now you can watch a video to learn about Individual Daily Risk! Introduction to Individual Daily Risk. IDR is a new method for comparing... youtu.be/HyI7Uk2l5AM?si… via YouTube

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In the next couple of days I'll start showing you how I created a reasonable semblance of this All Cause Mortality figure using only 2 numbers and little Python code with a random number generator. Magic? No. It's math. #IndividualDailyRisk

In the next couple of days I'll start showing you how I created a reasonable semblance of this All Cause Mortality figure using only 2 numbers and little Python code with a random number generator.  Magic?  No. It's math. 

#IndividualDailyRisk
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Patients who took simvastatin in the 4S trial had a 1 in 72,724 chance of having their life saved each day they took the statin. Individual Daily Risk: 4S Trial youtu.be/ROM7DFmZo3Q?si… via YouTube