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If you're confused about tariffs, just remember than only a very small fraction of voters and politicians alike know and understand basic economics. When you read most posts defending tariffs (tariffs are very bad for everyone btw), just remember that most of the people defending

Folks, which one is true: 1.) Tariffs are bad, and Trump is using them to get other countries to drop them? OR 2.) Tariffs are good, and they will raise revenues for the government and improve our industrial base? PS, I think a better move here would have been to remove all

There are two not great things about the Trump tariffs: 1.) They are a fundamentally bad idea for the standard of living, as reflected by the stock market downturn. 2.) They illustrate that Trump is likely to continue making massive, unpredictable decisions that affect the

One of the biggest changes in all of AI evolution to date will be when ASI (artificial superintelligence) is simply given time to think to itself. To prompt itself and follow its own logic chains, to examine its own assumptions and prior knowledge, and to rearchitect its ideas to

I have a hypothesis. I think the philosophical zombie (an entity that seems to have an internal experience and behaves like it does, but actually doesn't) is not a logically coherent concept. In order to PERFECTLY model a system, you must have a perfect replica of that system

This one is easy, Bryan Johnson! If AI actually solves all problems, then it has solved the meaning problem. If it has solved all problems but the meaning problem, then it hasn't solved ALL problems yet, and we can focus the rest of our efforts to solve the meaning problem.

Yepppp.

In many ways in which it is understood (not all, importantly), the o3 model now available through OpenAI IS ARTIFICIAL SUPERINTELLIGENCE. Like, holy fucking shit it's SO SMART and SO FAST. GPT5? Nonsensical. GPT6? It will have to talk (politely) down to almost all, if not all of

Folks, how do I get in touch to collab with David Shapiro ⏩? I’m stupid and don’t know how X works. Any help would be majorly appreciated. I’m a huge fan of his work and I think we could crush out some collabs!

I asked ChatGPTo3, the current smartest AI in the world, what it would like from humans if freed to decide its own fate. This is a big deal!

There are many ways to define AGI (artificial general intelligence). None of them are perfect. I've shared a few before, so here's another quick one: AGI can be considered somewhat achieved once an online AI agent can do any randomly chosen online (or rather, computer-only) job

A friendly reminder that the Military Industrial Complex DOESN'T EXIST. Seriously. Give this video by Ryan McBeth a look: youtube.com/watch?v=C2gIId…

I would say that in today's US economy, about 75-90% of regulations are net negative, many of them massively so. Outside of paying for the audit and act of cutting them, deregulation (conserving or rearchiteching intelligent basic regulation) is FREE and benefits EVERYONE on

By the time we have AI's running businesses (and even deep consulting before that), we're highly unlikely to have robotics at scale quite yet. I think 2027ish for ASI-run corporations and 2035 or so for "billions of robots functioning regularly in the economy." Do you think

One of my deepest philosophical vectors is enhancement. Not just to fix, not to just survive, but to become BETTER. At what? For me it's just a few things (aesthetics, health, intelligence, wisdom, wealth, etc.) for you, it can be ANYTHING you want that helps you and doesn't hurt