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Fin juillet notre modèle donnait (et donne toujours) 320 mandats à Trump. Il n’a pas été retouché depuis, car il a pour vertu la précocité de l’annonce de ses résultats, résultats relayés en toute objectivité par nos soins. À lire in Le Figaro 30 oct #PresidentialElection2024

Do not forget to take a look at the PS: Political Science & Politics Special Issue on Forecasting the 2024 US Elections! 🇺🇲 🗳 Who will it be? 🔵 Harris or 🔴 Trump? M²P Mizzou Poli Sci Science politique UdeM McGill Poli Sci SciencePo_ulaval

New pub in Nations & Nationalism: How attitudes towards independence reshaped 🏴󠁧󠁢󠁳󠁣󠁴󠁿 elections: A longitudinal analysis (1999–2021)🗳️ We quantify some massive changes in the role of independence for citizens' vote choice 👇👇 🔓onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/na… with Thomas Gareau-Paquette Political Studies Association

In the spirit of Election Day, we share the special issue forecasting the outcome!

[OUT] 'Politicians’ Theories of Voting Behavior', new paper by Nathalie Brack and Jean-Benoit Pilet, researchers at SciencePo ULB (#Cevipol) in collaboration with Jack Lucas, Lior Sheffer, and other colleagues, in American Political Science Review cambridge.org/core/journals/…

My 2024 election forecast published in PS: Political Science & Politics Cambridge University Press - Politics with Julius Lagodny, @jcolner99, and Anusha Kumar correctly forecasted 45/45 called states 100 days before the election using Verasight: bit.ly/40vsasH.

The Electoral College prediction map in our PS: Political Science & Politics Special Issue introduction published in mid-October looks just like the actual results. Election fundamentals & scientific approaches work! doi.org/10.1017/S10490…

Please read. Learn about what political science can achieve.

🗞️Kamala Harris a-t-elle perdu les élections américaines parce qu’elle est une femme? Avec les analyses de notre chercheuse ruth dassonneville. 24heures.ca/2024/11/12/kam…

Happy to share that CHES party positions are now also available for Canada! 🇨🇦 Big thanks to ruth dassonneville and CH Expert Survey The published data note can be found here: doi.org/10.1017/S00084…

Today Philippe Mongrain & I presented an analysis of the PS: Political Science & Politics 2024 US election forecasts Nuffield College University of Oxford. Thanks to Ray Duch & Roberto Cerina for organizing such a fantastic workshop!

Cornell Professor Led Presidential Election Forecast That Correctly Predicted Results for All 50 States cornellsun.com/2024/11/26/cor…

#OpenAccess from CJPS_RCSP - Working the Crowd: Citizen Forecasting, Sophistication and Diversity in Canadian Federal and Provincial Elections - cup.org/4aMdVTx - Philippe Mongrain, Nadjim Fréchet 🕊️, Brian Thompson Collart & Yannick Dufresne #FirstView

NEW ISSUE from PS: Political Science & Politics - PS: Political Science & Politics - Forecasting the 2024 US Election - Volume 58 - Issue 2 - April 2025 - cup.org/42yjlz1 APSA

#OpenAccess from CJPS_RCSP - A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti Conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election - cup.org/3EKltdH - Éric Bélanger, Philippe Mongrain, Thomas Gareau-Paquette & Valérie-Anne Mahéo #FirstView

Delighted to see the new issue! Thanks to my co-guest editor Philippe Mongrain & all the contributors for their forecasts.

[ À LIRE ] Avec Éric Bélanger, Philippe Mongrain et Thomas Gareau-Paquette, la professeure Valérie-Anne Mahéo vient de publier l’article «A Party that Went Viral? The Drivers of Support for the Parti conservateur du Québec in the 2022 Election» dans la CJPS_RCSP. fss.ulaval.ca/actualites/nou…