we've seen nothing yet! hosted a 9-13 yo vibe-coding event w. Robert Keus 👨🏼‍💻 this w-e (h/t Anton Osika – eu/acc Lovable Build) takeaway? AI is unleashing a generation of wildly creative builders beyond anything I'd have imagined and they grow up *knowing* they can build anything!

New paper irelandp.com/papers/moneypo…

Current AI “alignment” is just a mask Our findings in The Wall Street Journal explore the limitations of today’s alignment techniques and what’s needed to get AI right 🧵

Excellent article in The Atlantic on plummeting worldwide fertility, based on Jesús Fernández-Villaverde 's work. theatlantic.com/ideas/archive/…

This showcases the Jesus versatility as a researcher.

The most interesting thing in tech: Anthropic let its AI model, Claude, run a vending machine in its office. It went very wrong! But it was an extremely useful experiment for showing the gaps in AI, and props to them for publishing it.

politics in one picture

A great interview of Geoff Hinton. youtu.be/giT0ytynSqg?si…

The ICML conference format should be implemented by Econ conference. For sure, the AEA meetings would benefit from admitting posters in a large scale.

This is an excellent argument by Luis Garicano 🇪🇺🇺🇦 on how higher education needs to react to LLMs and related tech innovations. Will universities adapt in time? My bet is No.

As the new school year approaches, students ask the perennial question: what languages to learn? In no particular order: Python, Stata, Matlab, Mathematica, Julia, C++, R, and Linux. Yes, sounds a lot but LLMs have reduced significantly the entry cost.

Happy to share my first paper with amazing scientists in AWS. arxiv.org/pdf/2509.26468

Curious about the impact of Gen-AI on the U.S. economy? Check out our work with Jaromir Nosal and Tomo Miakami. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…

The state-of-art in zero-shot multivariate forecasting has arrived. Check out this amazing work with Amazon colleagues. Introducing Chronos-2: From univariate to universal forecasting amazon.science/blog/introduci…

Interested in learning the state-of-the art in multivariate forecasting with machine learning, check out Chronos2 by my amazing colleagues at Amazon (with a tiny contribution from me :) x.com/AmazonScience/…

New paper with Grey Gordon Sovereign Default Intensity and Noise Bargaining richmondfed.org/publications/r… via @richmondfed