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I'm pretty confident we won't have AGI/country of geniuses in a datacenter within 2 years. I like ai-2027 as a piece of futures work, but I think too many people are treating it as a mainline scenario, rather than unlikely-but-not-impossible. I think this is resulting in too

Yesterday there was speculation that cuts to the National Weather Service contributed to the flooding deaths in Texas. While I believe the cuts to the NWS are reckless and will lead to loss of life down the road, that doesn't appear to have been the problem in this Texas flood.

More than 75,000 adults and children are now estimated to have died because of the effective shutdown of PEPFAR that began less than six months ago. A program Bush 43 started that evangelicals once supported and now have turned their backs on. By Peter Wehner

Who could have possibly seen this coming? I wonder what will happen with another million deportations?

decel/gop

Ukraine now outperformes the US in speed, cost, and scale of drone production It builds 200,000 drones a month — up from 20,000 a year ago. FPVs cost ~$400, long-range ~$200,000 US systems like Switchblade 600 cost $100,000 [they don’t f..ng work!!!], Finer & Shiner in FA. 1/

In WWI, the first truly industrial war, every year saw a new record set for the number of artillery rounds fired. Something similar is happening with drones today.

Senolytics (treatments that kill off senescent cells that have stopped reproducing) are such an intuitively appealing longevity approach. But biology is complicated. And like most longevity tech, they've failed to perform.

The U.S. is imposing a 25% tariff on Korea because of trade deficits that it claims are "engendered by Korea's Tariff and Non Tariff, Policies and Trade Barriers." But Korea has a free trade agreement with the U.S. It charges zero tariffs on nearly everything.

Source unknown.

Cop-out to give Trump a waiver power. Just impose the sanctions. Can't count on Trump to do so.

What are these guys doing?

This was hinted at during the passage of BBB, that the GOP was able to get the votes because of promises made to use administrative powers to impede that clean energy credits. The admin and much of the party just really hate solar, wind, and EVs.