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New piece out in Nikkei Asia by myself and The Lowy Institute colleague Hilman Palaon: Indonesia wants to build #ElectricVehicles, but so do other major economies...can the country compete on the global stage? #development #renewables asia.nikkei.com/Opinion/Indone…

Important work led by The Lowy Institute’s Riley Duke on the ballooning debt crisis in some Pacific islands quoted in this ABC News piece: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…. abc.net.au/news/2024-07-2… Read Riley’s analysis on Vanuatu: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete… and Tonga: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete… here.

Very pleased to see my name in a publication I read closely and recommend to any Southeast Asia watcher. This article uses data from the The Lowy Institute Southeast Asia Aid Map for an overview of the support that SEA states are providing to each other. 🧵

I was interviewed by Jordan Fennell for her excellent ABC Pacific story on the Solomons government's push to establish a 'Golden Passport' scheme. Similar programs in Vanuatu and Caribbean states have been good revenue raisers but carry security risks. abc.net.au/pacific/progra…

Education outcomes in the Pacific are backsliding—participation, performance, and funding are all in decline. Combined with the region's 'youth bulge', the outlook is troubling. Covered in my latest story with Nasirra Ahsan in The Lowy Institute's Interpreter: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

Today, we release the 2024 The Lowy Institute Pacific Aid Map, the most comprehensive database of aid & development flows to the #pacific ever assembled. 14 countries, 97 development partners, over 37,000 projects. Explore the Map and Key Findings Report pacificaidmap.lowyinstitute.org 1/12

After a pandemic slump, China's aid in the Pacific is rebounding with more grants and grassroots projects. Read my analysis with my The Lowy Institute colleague Alexandre Dayant here: lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

Trump’s aid freeze: What’s at Stake? It won’t break the #Pacific, but it will cause disruptions. In #southeastasia , #Myanmar & #Cambodia face the biggest hit, with threats to governance & health programs. Australia, Japan & the EU will need to step up lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

Ouch HT Grace Stanhope (@gracestanhope.bsky.social) Riley Duke

Strong piece by Riley Duke. Check it out!

China is widely assumed to be the big soft power beneficiary of US aid cuts—but to date, no estimates quantify the impact. My latest analysis shows the cuts restoring China as the world’s largest bilateral aid partner, surpassing the US in 40+ countries. lowyinstitute.org/the-interprete…

🚨 New The Lowy Institute research 🚨 How do Southeast Asian countries engage with China’s aid? We identify 3 approaches: 🔴 Constrained: Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar 🟡 Restrained: Vietnam, the Philippines 🟢 Opportunistic: Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand 1/4 lowyinstitute.org/publications/h…

Great new paper by Alexandre Dayant & Grace Stanhope (@gracestanhope.bsky.social). They warn if Western donors continue cutting development budgets, SE Asia’s ability to shape its aid relationship with China could be seriously at risk. Good to see Australia, for one, holding the line. lowyinstitute.org/publications/h…

Great to have my commentary on the Australian federal budget and changes to foreign aid spending featured in The Washington Post Non-paywall AP version here: bit.ly/4hLjcwt washingtonpost.com/world/2025/03/…

Great to speak with ABC Pacific’s Lucy Cooper on debt risks in the Pacific. Repeated shocks are pushing some countries toward unsustainable debt levels —particularly those that took on a large volume of Chinese loans in the mid-2010s. abc.net.au/pacific/progra…

NEW RESEARCH: Soaring debt repayments and a sharp reduction in lending have transformed China’s role in developing country finances from capital provider to debt collector, writes Riley Duke in a new The Lowy Institute Data Snapshot. interactives.lowyinstitute.org/features/peak-…

Important new research from Riley Duke released today.

Interesting research by Riley Duke - here's our brief write up abc.net.au/news/2025-05-2…

Great to see research on China’s overseas lending by the The Lowy Institute's Riley Duke cited in the The New York Times: nytimes.com/2025/07/01/bus…