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New on the SSPP: What are the effects of psychological support interventions on maternal well-being and children’s nutrition? Seollee Park and coauthors invite your predictions! 📚Field: Economics ⏱️Length: 5 min 📅Closes: Dec 31, 2024 Stefano DellaVigna Eva Vivalt Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA)

⏳Closing soon! How reproducible and replicable is research from leading economic and political science journals? Submit your predictions by Oct. 31! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/bce4… 📚 Fields: Econ & Political Science ⏱️ 15 min Stefano DellaVigna Eva Vivalt Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA) I4R

New on the SSPP: What drives evidence sharing among policymakers? Mahvish Shaukat, Andreas Stegmann, and Mattie Toma are looking for your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/7451… 📚Field: Econ 🕑Duration: 5 - 10 min 🗓️ Closes: Nov 30 Stefano DellaVigna Eva Vivalt Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA)

Very strong evidence in this paper indeed that NAFTA caused a shift to Rs in places most affected. I taught this paper the day after the election, as well as China shock paper and some media papers, such as Snyder-Stromberg

I could not agree more. In my econ 101a lecture I tell students "Be kind. Nothing in economics says otherwise." To uphold this (as it is easy to slip), i look to people like G Akerlof, D Laibson, G Rao, L Vesterlund, Lawrence Katz, John A. List whom I have always seen uphold this.

📣Interested in open science? Want to be in the room with leading researchers on research transparency? Join us at the BITSS Annual Meeting on February 27, 2025! Register here: forms.gle/e77dzcaCeA7x4F… Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA) @tedmiguel Stefano DellaVigna @fhoces

Why do some interventions fail to scale? 🤔 We chat with Stefano DellaVigna & Elizabeth Linos about their paper ‘RCTs to Scale,’ uncovering surprising evidence of publication bias & its implications for open science. Don’t miss this! 🎙️ spotifycreators-web.app.link/e/SUd8Osk6gPb

Alex Cohen Ryan Briggs Ezra Karger Stefano DellaVigna Devin Pope P.S. If you know of any good things to forecast from researchers in your network, there's actually a prize for teams that submitted good projects to be forecast, deadline Dec. 31: socialscienceprediction.org/outstanding-us…

As we revisit this year’s CUF Lecture Series, we start with February’s opening talk by Stefano DellaVigna (UC Berkeley), who explored why government agencies often don’t act on the evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs). x.com/ssrc_org/statu…

Really looking forward to our session "The Science of Evidence Use: Policymaker & Practitioner Preferences and Responsiveness" at the AEAs. ➡️Join us! Worth being up for the early slot Sat Jan 4th 8-10am PST. Eva Vivalt Stefano DellaVigna Mattie Toma Tahir Andrabi

New on the SSPP: How do one-time fiscal events (like debt forgiveness) shape behavior? Augustin Bergeron, Lukas Bolte, and Jakob Brounstein invite your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/a53f… ⏱️ Time: 15 min 🗓️ Closes: March 25, 2025 📚 Field: Econ Stefano DellaVigna Eva Vivalt Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA)

New on the SSPP: Can a digital empowerment curriculum impact college students' smartphone and social media use in India? Study by Mridul Joshi, Jalnidh Kaur, and Lena Song socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/3840… ⏱️ Time: 10 min 🗓️ Closes: March 31 📚 Field: Econ Stefano DellaVigna Eva Vivalt Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA)

Big milestone for Social Science Prediction Platform. The Platform that allows you for free to post projects and get predictions has reached 100 projects. These researchers have been able to compare their findings to the average forecast. No more "We knew it already" from R2! Eva Vivalt @tedmiguel

How can you use the Social Science Prediction Platform (Social Science Prediction Platform ) for development papers? @tedmiguel & I summarize some use cases. blogs.worldbank.org/en/impactevalu…

The Social Science Prediction Platform has a new feature: a leaderboard showcasing those who provided the most forecasts or were the most accurate. Forecasters can opt into displaying their name. You can also see your own rank if logged in. Check it out! Stefano DellaVigna Social Science Prediction Platform

An example of what people can see (and nicely done!). You only get an accuracy score after taking a certain number of surveys that have since posted results, so it's some extra motivation to take more surveys on the platform!

That's a wrap! Many thanks to our amazing speakers & FAIR-The Choice Lab for co-funding the 13th BITSS Annual Meeting. Great discussions on meta-research, results reporting, and reproducibility. Carson Christiano Stuart Buck Maria Jones Stefano DellaVigna

The Thresholding Multiple Outcomes method addresses spatial correlation in regressions by using information from additional outcomes to identify correlated locations, from Stefano DellaVigna, guido imbens, Woojin Kim, and David Ritzwoller nber.org/papers/w33716

Very excited to share this new working paper, joint with Stefano DellaVigna, guido imbens, and Woojin Kim!

How can predictions improve development research? A new World Bank blog, co-authored by CEGA co-founder Ted Miguel, explores the impact of the Social Science Prediction Platform, an online tool for collecting predictions through forecasting survey data. go.cega.org/SSPP