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In a period of 3 days, Southern & Central #Appalachia experienced unprecedented rainfall from a historic rain event & Tropical Storm #Helene. Our region needs urgent help. Here is some info on where & how to donate, & where to seek shelter. appvoices.org/helene-relief

for the many people who care about survey statistics calibration and #FatBearWeek, I made this: statmodeling.stat.columbia.edu/2024/10/04/bas… U.S. Census Bureau National Park Service

come work with us !

Excited to signal boost shira mitchell and Connor Gilroy | @[email protected]'s response to the Jake M. Grumbach and Caroline Soler critiques of our estimates of Harris support among non-voters and youth voters. Our main points:

new blog series about Survey Statistics

blog post about 2 flavors of calibration in survey statistics: 1. post-stratification ("MRP") 2. intercept correction ("logit-shifting") Includes a rough summary of Shiro Kuriwaki et al.'s "The Geography of Racially Polarized Voting: Calibrating Surveys at the District Level".

blog post about Kish's and Xiao-Li Meng's design effect: error increases with population size (!!) and correlation between inclusion in the sample and the quantity of interest