New on the SSPP: How prevalent is tax non-compliance among businesses in Kampala, Uganda? Yannick Markhof, Stephan Dietrich, and Rose Camille Vincent invite your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/rbq/2f… ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: May 31

🏆 Winner Announced! 🏆 Congratulations to Alexander Coutts & Séverine Toussaert — winners of the 2025 SSPP Outstanding Use of Forecasts Award ($10,000) for “Beliefs about choice reversals”! See the winning survey here: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/f6a1…

New on the SSPP: What are the attributes of politically motivated reasoning? Robin Musolff & Guy Yanay invite your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/93e4…… ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30 💰Lottery-based incentives

🚨Closing this Saturday, May 31! How accurate are CEO forecasts of future revenues? Don't miss the chance to make a prediction on this survey and be entered into the lottery for $100.

New on the SSPP: Do business support programs actually help businesses grow and succeed in the UK? Maria Brackin and Rob Fuller welcome your predictions on turnover and employment outcomes! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/ ⏱️15 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30

New on the SSPP: Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions? April Wang et al. look forward to your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/66d5… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: June 30

New on the SSPP: How does subsidizing early-maturity rice seeds and farmer education impact farmers' decisions in Punjab? New study by Piyush Gandhi, who welcomes your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/ad81… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: July 15

New on the SSPP: How does using self-promotional language impact responses to requests for support? Jenny Chang et al. designed a field experiment and invite you to predict their findings: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/6e65… ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Econ, Psych 🗓️Closes: June 30

Delighted to have received an Alfred P. Sloan Foundation grant for the next phase of the Social Science Prediction Platform! Some exciting new developments coming soon... watch this space! Social Science Prediction Platform Sloan Foundation Economics U of T

🚨4 surveys close June 30! Make predictions at: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/ 1⃣ Predicting tax non-compliance in Kampala, Uganda 2⃣ Politically motivated reasoning 3⃣ Predicting the impacts of self-promotion 4⃣ Do different effect sizes in meta-analyses lead to different conclusions?

New short meta-survey on the SSPP: can you predict how well people predict? 👇

New on the SSPP: what are the impacts of AI-driven mental health smartphone apps in Mexico? Manuela Angelucci, Raissa Fabregas, and Antonia Vazquez welcome your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/56e3… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: Aug 13

New on the SSPP: How does remote work impact job satisfaction and productivity among call center agents in Turkey? Study by Cevat Giray Aksoy, Nick Bloom, and co-authors. socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/1775… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Econ 🗓️Closes: Aug 31

New on the SSPP: what will be the outcomes of a livelihood support program in Iraq for microentrepreneurs? Study by Andrea Caflisch et al. socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/e553… ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Dev Econ 🗓️Closes: Sept 30

New on the SSPP: What is the impact of VAT exemptions on food in an informal setting in Papua New Guinea? Christopher Hoy et al. welcome your predictions! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/2bd7… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Dev Econ 🗓️Closes: Sept 30

New on the SSPP: what are the economic impacts of university-affiliated research parks? Make forecasts below on this study by Mihai Codreanu: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/465d… ⏱️Time: 5 min 📚Field: Labor Econ 🗓️Closes: Oct 31

🚨 Closing tomorrow! Forecast how accurate people are at forecasting with the SSPP team's meta-survey: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/0f61…

New on the SSPP: is there a correlation between statistical significance and media attention? Lester Lusher, Sunmi Jung, and Brianna Funderburk welcome your predictions: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/dbbe… 💰Incentives based on accuracy ⏱️Time: 10 min 📚Field: Economics 🗓️Closes: Aug 31

🚨3 surveys close Sunday, Aug 31! socialscienceprediction.org/predict/ 1️⃣Role of monthly office days in fully remote work 2️⃣Correlation b/n statistical significance & media attention -💰incentives based on forecast accuracy 3️⃣Effects of providing information to potential workers Eva Vivalt

📣 Interested in making more forecasts? Want to get paid for doing so? Apply for the SSPP Forecasting Panel! Panelists receive $400 a year, with an additional $300 bonus for high accuracy. Apply here: socialscienceprediction.org/predict/r/090d… Center for Effective Global Action (CEGA) Eva Vivalt Stefano DellaVigna