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STUNNING new video from the NOAA GOES satellite shows a large-scale prominence eruption occurring on the Sun this morning. The large solar storm is not currently expected to be Earth-directed.

There ain’t nothin’ going on! We’ll let you know when somethin’s goin’ on!

There’s finally a nice Earth-directed storm on the way! A filament lifted off around 05:00Z this morning, and I reckon it’s perfectly Earth-directed. More on this in a bit!

I would like to publicly apologize to Martha Stewart, Martha was right about the Northern Lights. Love you Martha. Still the baddest in the game!!

I’d argue there’s a small case for a more intense storm from this (Kp >=6) if Earth comes under the direct influence of the very dense plasma associated with today’s filament. One of the key limitations in the WSA-Enlil+Cone model and this model run in particular is in its

My driveway is pretty beautiful at certain times of the year 😂

SOLAR STORM INCOMING: A filament eruption occurred yesterday just west of central meridian, and it seems to be strongly Earth-directed. The solar storm is expected to arrive most likely between late Friday night and Saturday late morning Eastern Time. If the storm arrives, a

Here's our (unofficial!) thoughts on maximum Kp we could see through Sunday morning, Eastern Time if the CME arrives: Kp=4: 85% Kp=5: 70% Kp=6: 40% Kp=7: 20% Kp=8: 4% Kp=9: 1%

Just a reminder that this weekend, we may see the impact from a slow (but perhaps dense) filament eruption. Impacts are forecasted to be minor (G0-G1/Kp 4-5), but there is a slight chance we see moderate to strong storm levels (Kp 6-7). Let's keep an eye on L1 solar wind data.

Sun and Moon

Space weather watchers, we're awaiting the arrival of a filament eruption solar storm at Earth to occur very late tonight into sometime tomorrow. Our monitors are fairly quiet right now, with stable and low magnetic field (black), stable and lower density and velocity (orange,