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Walk around central Berlin yesterday: New Synagogue and Memorial to the Murdered Jews of Europe.

Turkish restaurant in Berlin (kofte and grilled halumi salad)

Iran Rethinks Military Partners After Air Defense Failure 🔹The May 2025 India-Pakistan conflict sparked serious debates within Iran’s military-security circles. 🔹Experts started arguing that Tehran’s reliance on military cooperation with Russia was a strategic mistake.

Pro-#Iran militias "are in a different position with so much control over the Iraqi state. The Iraqi economy has been doing really well the last few years, and this conflict is bad for business.”-- Renad Mansour Chatham House MENA Iran just fought a punishing war with #Israel. Why its

After 12 days of fighting—the peak of a decades-long confrontation between Jerusalem and Tehran—how should Israel prepare for what lies ahead? My recent piece for INSS. inss.org.il/publication/is…

Pleased to publish again with New Lines Magazine. Please read and share.

Bluesky really has become the anti-Twitter

On damage after US-Israel strikes: -too early to reach firm conclusions -including US intelligence: the leaked assessment says it has low confidence in its conclusion of limited damage -my intuition: limited but real damage to the nuclear program; more damage to military assets

Québec General Delegation in Berlin - brilliant location, right next to the Brandenburg Gate

Berlin sausages with sauerkraut and potatoes in Berlin

"Iranian authorities are pivoting from a ceasefire with Israel to intensify an internal security crackdown across the country with mass arrests, executions and military deployments, particularly in the restive Kurdish region" theguardian.com/world/2025/jun…

My article for Middle East Council on Global Affairs explores the fragile process of military unification in post-Assad Syria, highlighting the key challenges that threaten it—from entrenched mistrust& financial shortfalls to ideological divisions & persistent foreign interference. mecouncil.org/publication/sy…

The attacks by terrorist settlers against Palestinians in the West Bank must stop. The Israeli government must go after these violent racists with the same force it goes after other terrorists.

My piece for Carnegie Endowment on the impact of US and Israeli strikes on Iran’s nuclear program, including the damage, long-term pathways to reconstitution, internal debates in Iran, and the future of the IAEA carnegieendowment.org/emissary/2025/…

We’re doing a thing—and changing a name

'At this time, the regime does not seem to be on the verge of falling but it is certainly more vulnerable than it has been since the early years after the revolution,' says Associate Fellow Thomas Juneau via AFP News Agency and FRANCE 24. france24.com/en/live-news/2…

🚨Call for chapters: Supreme Military Command Authority / Commanders-in-Chief 🚨

The authority of the leader has "been undermined," Juneau told AFP. "Even though his position remains secure, in that there is unlikely to be a direct challenge to his rule for now, he has lost credibility and bears direct responsibility for the Islamic republic's major losses"

Not the first Trump tantrum, not the last. Keep calm, don't get into a yelling match in all caps, discretely offer in a couple days to postpone the digital services tax, and then once talks resume offer to can it in exchange for something else.