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It is rainy season in Japan and leading the headline news right now is a risk of training rainfall. Triple digit millimeter amounts of rain could be expected during the coming days in parts of the country. Shown is a 48 hour precipitation scenario from ECMWF. TT #線状降水帯

Shown is a forecast of maximum air temperature across the continental USA today according to the NWS NDFD. TT

A hot weekend is ahead for Frankfurt am Main in Germany. Here's a forecast diagram from ECMWF hinting a possibility of a 34 degrees Celsius (about 93 degrees Fahrenheit) high on Saturday. This feature is available in the menu as "City Charts" TT

Shown is an NWS NDFD forecast of forecast maximum temperatures across the continental USA today. There is also a level 2/5 risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon and evening in parts of Nebraska and South Dakota. TT

Plenty of active weather possible today from Montana to the Central Plains. The highest risk (3/5) will be in parts of Montana with the main concerns being very large hail, severe winds and possibly a few tornadoes. TT

Shown is a simulated radar scenario from HRRR for 10 PM CDT tonight amid a level 3 out of 5 risk of severe weather in parts of Nebraska and Minnesota. The risks include winds, hail and a few tornadoes. TT

A serious afternoon and evening ahead with the highest severe weather risk (4 out of 5) in southern Kansas and northern Oklahoma. Risks include severe winds (could be up to 70-100 mph!), scattered large hail and a few tornadoes. Shown is a wind gusts scenario from HRRR. TT

Hurricane Erick is rapidly intensifying and is expected to make a landfall in Mexico on Thursday as a major hurricane. Shown is an ensemble of scenarios of the possible path of Erick's eye according to the ECMWF EPS. TT

Severe thunderstorms are expected in much of Mid-Atlantic this afternoon and evening with the main concern being the winds. Shown is a simulated radar scenario from HRRR for 6 PM EDT tonight. Isolated large hail and winds is also possible in Upper Midwest and northern Plains. TT

Here is a map of high temperature anomaly (difference from climatological average) for today according to the NDFD with heat affecting central US today and spreading eastward. Additionally there is a severe weather risk in northern Plains and upper Mississippi Valley. TT

There is a level 3 out of 5 risk for severe thunderstorms today and tonight in the Carolinas and Georgia, with the main risk being severe wind gusts. Here is a forecast scenario from a recent HRRR run for 8 PM tonight, with the model also simulating thunderstorm wind gusts. TT

Shown is a map of forecast maximum temperatures across the continental USA today according to the NWS NDFD. TT

Shown is an NWS NDFD forecast of maximum temperatures across the continental USA today. Particularly standing out is the Southwest where extreme heat warnings (formerly known as excessive heat warnings) are in effect. TT

Flood watches are have been issued from parts of North Carolina all the way to New Jersey as scattered strong to severe thunderstorms are expected and could bring heavy to excessive rainfall to the region. Severe thunderstorms are also possible in northern/central Plains. TT

Here is a scenario of what the radar reflectivities could look like tonight in Central Plains. There is a level 3 out of 5 risk for parts of SD, IA and NE for large hail, damaging winds and perhaps a couple of tornadoes late this afternoon into tonight. TT

Here's a map of forecast maximum temperatures today across the continental USA according to the NWS NDFD. TT

Thunderstorms capable of causing large hail and damaging wind gusts locally in excess of 75 mph are possible late this afternoon and evening in parts of Nebraska, which is under a level 3 out of 5 severe weather risk according to the latest outlook from the SPC. TT

Elsewhere in the world, heavy rain is a topic in Japan and South Korea. Shown here is a total precipitation scenario from 3 PM Wednesday to 9 PM Thursday (both times local) according to the GFS. Some areas could see rain clouds hit over and over during an extended period. TT