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I cannot say this enough: - Early exits are not suitable for demographic analysis or comparisons. - AP/Votecast is still preliminary -- should be adjusted for final vote counts. - We don't have Catalist. Or Pew validated voters. It's just too early to have confident takes!

I don't have many strong and informed opinions, but when it comes to PoC politics, that's one exception because I study them. Lots of ill takes here on PoC & the election. Rather than criticize, let me provide some evidence-based input on the election and the preceding months🧵

What I think we're seeing is polarization catching up to PoC. We get two parties and two choices and all of the internal heterogeneity of various PoC must be channeled and expressed through these 2 (!) parties.

Just crunched some numbers. Turnout generally dropped nationwide. But battleground states had slightly *higher* turnout among eligible voters than 2020—and a smaller-than-avg swing towards Trump. Wisconsin had the highest turnout rise in the nation: +1.3% of eligible voters.🧵

Morning Consult daily consumer sentiment has already began flipping for Democrats and Republicans

Our latest exit poll analysis shows Asian American voters shifted in the #2024Election. While a majority (54%) backed Harris, support for Trump was 5 points higher than in 2020. This trend, starting in 2016, signals a changing political landscape for the AAPI electorate.

Looking like the fight for NC & GA will become even more important - with Black voters making up a large part of those electorates AND now the only part of the Democratic coalition that will confidently deliver overwhelming support, the work to mobilize & engage must start NOW.

And yet, Black Americans, who are disproportionately working class, hold collectively close to zero wealth, who have the highest unemployment rates even in a good economy did NOT vote for the man that his own former generals called a fascist. What that tells you is that vote was

#RaceClass Podcast is now on YouTube. New world order, same old podcast. youtube.com/playlist?list=…

Any cable News host, commentator or columnist who lazily repeats the bullshit of "identity politics" as a major factor of Dems losing without mentioning Trump’s entire campaign focused on "identity politics" and the GOP exploitation of racial, gender and LGBTQ issues must be

Biden is now free of political constraints, yet he seems determined to continue sending arms and military aid until the bitter end as Israel bombs and starves Palestinian civilians in Gaza -- aiding and abetting war crimes. theguardian.com/commentisfree/…

It seemed like only a matter of time, but Derek Tran (D) just took the lead over #CA45 Rep. Michelle Steel (R), by 36 votes.

Since 2019, we’ve been seeing academic terms like “CRT” and “DEI” co-opted by the current conservative movement. I studied this by fielding survey experiments to show how opposition to teaching kids about race is rooted in misinformation spread through politicizing the term.

18 senators vote in support of blocking tank rounds to Israel, with 1 present. Y: Heinrich, Hirono, Kaine, King, Markey, Merkley, Ossoff, Sanders, Schatz, Smith, Warren, Welch, Durbin, Van Hollen, Shaheen, Lujan, Warnock, Murphy. P: Baldwin Carper was a Y, then flipped to N.

"Our game at the state level and local levels needs to be aggressive. We need to mobilize. We need to organize. We need to understand every lever of power at state and local levels, and not to give up the fight at the federal level." Janai Nelson rolandsmartin

Biden reissues outdated talking points. It is not "outrageous" to charge Netanyahu for his war crimes. It is outrageous that he is committing them, with Biden's support. whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/…

This is cool: cast vote records (CVR) in Washoe (NV) allow us to see the choices voters made on the whole ballot. Overall, 5.8% of Trump voters went for Rosen, 5.5% went "none of the above" or 3rd party, and 1% skipped. (And there was more splitting in Latino precincts...)

Only in America can you go from refugees fleeing with nothing but the clothes on your back to becoming a member of Congress in just one generation. Today's count has made it clear: I am the winner of this race thanks to the resilience, spirit, and dedication of our #CA45

Thank you #CA45!